Someone once asked me what will happen if Toyone and Awai battle it out.
And here we will try to find out.
Edit note: to those who read this before, I forgot to count the starting hands so you might need to read it again.
Before we begin we will make certain assumption on this match. That is,
- Awai will declare riichi on the first turn like in the semi-finals.
No matter how I personally think this is stupid thing to do, its what Awai did so I’ll assume this is her normal behavior.
- 5-6 shanten is active and will affect Toyone’s hand.
Without this condition, I’ll give this match to Toyone immediately. Because assuming that 5-6 shanten will not affect Toyone’s pursuit ability. (Which is not a bad assumption since all three abilities shown in the captain side-A managed to surpass 5-6 shanten) then, it meant Toyone will also start on tenpai or near tenpai that will allow her to pursue Awai’s hand and win in the next turn. *sweatdrop*
Thus, in interest of fairness, let’s assume 5-6 shanten will work.
- Toyone will draw effective tiles after Awai called double riichi due to her Pursuit Riichi.
Now the is out of the way. Let’s go to the interesting part? Who will win? Pursuit Riichi or Double Riichi?
My answer; it probably depends on the dice roll.
Remember that mahjong is 17 tiles in a row arranged in 2 stacks. Meaning a row of tiles is 17 x 2 = 34 tiles.
Then, you need to take into account the tiles that are taken to form the starting hands of the players which is 13 x 4 = 52 tiles.
Assuming that there are no skipped turns, for Awaii to win there should be more than 4 x 6 = 24 tiles before the corner.
Thus, if the dice rolled 2 that meant there are 56 tiles that has already been taken which meant we are on the second wall already. (34 x 2 ) – 56 = 12.
Thus, Awai will win on a dice roll of 2, 3, 4, 5, 6. .
7,8,9,10,11,12 will be good for Toyone since it will just be start of a new corner and thus Awai will take a longer time to win.
Pursuit Riichi vs. Double Riichi will really depend on dice roll. Though, the balance can only be maintained if there is no external factor affecting the dice. (Not totally impossible in the Saki-verse)
Of course, in a real match Toyone has another ability that will prove a kryptonite to Awai. – Tomobiki. The 5-6 shanten is hopeless if she used calls to break it. ^^