So, the finals are starting and we received some interesting information regarding Yuuki’s ability.
As always, TO ANYONE WHO WANTS TO AVOID BEING SPOILED ROTTEN AVOID THIS POST!
So, apparently, if we plot Yuuki’s match results it forms a wave. Meaning for every match that Yuuki plays her performance gets better until she reached the peak of her current ability and then, Yuuki’s performance subsequently declines until she reached rock bottom wherein Yuuki’s performance climbs back again.
From what I could understand, this counts the whole match performance as a single data point in the graph. So that means Yuuki for the whole vanguard match is at the peak of her ability. This is like Yuuki’s East boost ability written large and spread out through many matches.
The easiest expression of this ability is Yuuki’s tenpai rate in East 1. As Satoha observed, in the national tournament, Yuuki gots a Riichi on the 3rd turn in the quarterfinals. On the semifinals, Yuuki called on the 2nd turn to reach tenpai.
So following that logic, Yuuki should get tenpai on the first turn in the finals!
And what do you know, she did and even got freaking TENHOU!
In any case, while we wait for the next chapter, I’ve decided to go back to Yuuki’s earlier matches and see how exactly this ability works.
Yuuki’s performance in the quarterfinals follows our hypothesis.
Yuuki’s East 1 is ridiculous here.
For the first round (as Satoha mentioned), Yuuki called a riichi in the third turn. This meant that Yuuki reached tenpai at the 3rd turn of the game!
Said hand is also a bit hard to stop. Before calling the riichi, Yuuki did not draw any useless tiles and when her opponent tried to disrupt said hand by calling, Yuuki still won (albeit with a lower valued hand than what she should have won).
More than that though and more interesting considering the implications for future chapters, Yuuki’s ridiculous tenpai speed continued throughout the East 1 bonus hands. Heck, in some rounds Yuuki is even faster…
- Extra Hand 1 – Take this round for instance. Yuuki was in tenpai from the very first turn.
- Extra Hand 2 – Yuuki declared double riichi for this round which meant she is once again tenpai for the first turn.
- Extra Hand 3 – Yuuki is once again tenpai in the third turn. This time for a dealer mangan.
Regarding East 2, Yuuki is also in tenpai for the first turn. Though, I’m quite hesitant to include that since keeping said tenpai would have resulted in an aborted draw. Ultimately, Yuuki chose to break up her hand here and got her tenpai back in turn 8.
If we follow the pattern, Yuuki should be getting tenpai in the 2nd turn during this match. And as we know, Yuuki did get a tenpai in the 2nd turn.
Case closed… That is what I would like to say…
But, to be honest, the semifinals result is a bit weird and doesn’t exactly follow the supposed pattern.
As you can see Yuuki’s hand is iishanten at the end of the 1st turn. With effective draws, it would take only two turns for Yuuki to get to tenpai. Without any disruption, this would naturally fall unto the 3rd turn.
The same thing could also be observed in the 1st Extra hand, Yuuki called in 2nd turn to reach tenpai and then won by a ron in the 3rd turn.
On the 2nd Extra Hand, we could also see that Yuuki has an iishanten hand at the end of her first turn. After this, subsequent extra hands were skipped over until the fifth extra turn wherein we know Yuuki reached tenpai at the 7th turn.
This is a bit problematic because the new chapter is hinting that Yuuki is supposed to be faster in the semifinals than in the quarterfinals. Yuuki match records form a wave statistically and Hisa timed it so Yuuki is in the ascending curve.
But, if we compare Yuuki’s tenpai speed in the quarterfinals with the semifinals, I don’t actually see any notable speed increase? In fact, considering Yuuki was actually getting tenpai at the freaking first turn in the quarterfinals, Yuuki could be argued to be slower in the semifinal.
That said, if the pattern supposedly holds true and Yuuki is supposed to be faster here, I know what to blame –the change of playstyle.
I’ve said it in a post before , but I’ve been a bit dubious about Yuuki’s calling strategy and its benefits for the semifinals. Analyzing the match with this new information, I’m even more convinced – Yuuki got nerfed by the calling strategy for this match.
I’ve observed that in Saki, players especially occult players couldn’t change their playstyle easily. Beside that, there is also the mundane issue of not being comfortable or used to said style to bring it out to the full potential. Perhaps due to said issues, Yuuki got a bit underpowered in the semifinal than what she is supposed to be.
Another evidence in the table is Rinkai’s post-match analysis that Yuuki’s hand got faster as they went deeper into the game. Which could be seen as a sign that Yuuki slowly got used to said playstyle in the end but not quickly enough for her to benefit in the semifinals.
But, early enough for Yuuki’s change of playstyle to be a factor or even a gamechanger in the Finals.
Which I think what Hisa is counting on.
[su_quote]As Rinkai hypothesized, this style change is going to be useful when Yuuki is actually facing Teru. If you consider it that way, then the style has only advantages. After all, Yuuki’s explosive power mostly comes from the dora that she gets. But, in the finals, all the dora will go to Kuro. If calling not only speeds up Yuuki’s hand but gives Satoha some idea of her hand for cooperation, then yes, this style is worth its weight in gold for surviving Teru’s round.[/su_quote]
Td:lr : Due to other factors such as Yuuki’s change of playstyle in the semifinal, Yuuki’s power might behave here different than what is expected.
So what does this mean for the remaining rounds of the finals?
At best (using the data from the quarterfinals), Yuuki has the potential to be in tenpai or better (cough Tenhou cough) at the start of the round as long as the match is in East 1. At worst (using the date from the semifinals), Yuuki should at the very least still have the 1st turn buff until the fifth extra turn of East 1.
So for the next chapter, I forsee Teru and Satoha trying to end Yuuki’s East 1 dealership. Which I think they will succeed in especially if they combine forces.
It is too bad. In her current condition, I could actually see Yuuki fulfilling her badass boast of being the only one to roll the dice for the whole match. Unfortunately, her opponent is the number 1 and number 3 high school students.
Oh well… that is not the only ace in Yuuki’s sleeve. After all, even when East 1 ends and Teru-time is in full force, there is the calling strategy that Kiyosumi took the risk to set-up in the semifinals is for.